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Immigration to Canada, over 400 points again! What is the forecast for EE (Express Entry) scores in the future?
On Thursday, August 5th, EE-CEC was selected once again. However, this selection was a heavyweight for many applicants who had hope for invitation. Looking at EE-CEC's selection trend this year, it gave 4,750 invitations in the first selection on January 7th, and at that time, the starting score was 461. Since then, as everyone knows, the starting score has been lowered to 75 points, which is the lowest ever, on February 13, and 6,000 people have been selected steadily, down to the early 400 points and 357 points, the second lowest point of the year, on June 24. And I was maintaining 357 points on July 22nd, the previous starter. However, the starting score from 357 points suddenly rose to 404 points because the selection was 3,000 on August 5th, which was only half of the previous selection. As a result, applicants who had maintained between 350 and 400 points to receive invitation in this selection failed to receive the invitation and waited for the next selection. As the score suddenly rises, there are many concerns that the score of permanent residency will rise again in the future, but it is too early to conclude. The reason is that the target number of immigrants announced by the Canadian Immigration Service is 401,000, while the number of permanent residency approved during the first half of this year is 143,000, less than 50%. In other words, the Immigration Service is not meeting its target immigration plan. This requires the approval of over 43,000 permanent residency per month to meet the target new immigrants for the rest of the year. In addition, the Canadian Immigration Service has already announced its plan to accommodate immigrants by 2023, which is expected to receive more than 1 million new immigrants by 2023 with the aim of maintaining more than 400,000 per year, the largest number in history. As anyone who is looking closely at EE selection knows, recent selection is only conducted with EE-CEC and EE-PNP selection. Professional immigration FSW and technical immigration FST are not currently selecting. The reason is that 90% of applicants who proceed with CEC or PNP are already in Canada. Before COVID-19, it would have been meaningless to live in Canada now, but at a time when there are restrictions on entry to prevent the spread of COVID-19, the Canadian government has made the move to protect its citizens. However, the recent lifting of restrictions on entry to Canada on August 9th and September 7th suggests that the selection of FSW and FST could also be resumed. However, it is not easy to select until the end of this year because the spread of COVID-19 has not decreased and the Dalta or Lambda mutations are still coming out. Given the above reasons, of course, the score has increased temporarily due to the decrease in the number of starters in this selection, but it is predicted that it will not be easy to reach 460 points as before. Of course, it's hard to predict that the score will fall back to the 350s, and we don't know how long this system will last, so if it's the right time to immigrate to Canada, we'll do it right away and make sure we don't miss this opportunity. Even if you don't know how to proceed with permanent residency yet or think it won't work when you decide, many permanent residency methods have recently been introduced, so please review your case and find a suitable permanent residency.
Drunk driving records and entry to Canada.
Canada is more strict about drunk driving than other countries, as it often fails to even enter the country if it has a drunk driving record of drunk driving. In fact, even before 2018, Canada was not strict enough to drive under the influence of alcohol, but since December 18, 2018, Canada has been more severely punishing to increase the maximum penalty of driving under the influence of alcohol from five to ten years, which is why it is impossible to enter Canada even after a few years. Briefly speaking of past criminal records and entry into Canada, most cases of misdemeanors in the past are considered automatic pardons after 10 years and can be entered without additional pardons. However, if there is a record of felony crimes, or prosecutable crimes that are punishable by up to 10 years, they will not be automatically pardoned after 10 years, and will be required to apply for a separate pardon, be approved and entered the country. In case of drunk driving, as mentioned above, it was considered an automatic pardon after 10 years because it was sentenced to less than 5 years until December 18, 2018, but now it is punishable by more than 10 years, so if there is a related record, you must enter the country with a pardon or other immigration procedures. With these related records, you can enter Canada in two ways. First, you can live in Canada after entering the country through a temporary residence permit called Temporary Resident Permit (TRP). As above, if you want to enter Canada after drunk driving, you must now enter the country with a pardon. But in order to grant amnesty, you can apply for an amnesty after five years of paying a criminal fine or executing all the sentences. In other words, if it hasn't been more than five years, you can't even get a pardon. In this case, you can apply for TRP, not amnesty, and enter the country after approval. TRP is a temporary non-entry exemption that allows people who cannot enter Canada to enter Canada, and if approved, they can stay up to three years. Of course, TRP does not give everyone an easy approval, but it must submit the reason why the applicant must come to Canada, or why he or she is in Canada, along with relevant evidence. These documents and contents should be checked by the Immigration Service and determined subjectively by the Examiner, so the valid reasons for persuading the Examiner should be explained in detail from the beginning. The second way is to apply for a pardon called Rehabilitation. You can apply for pardons only after more than 5 years of being sentenced. Once amnesty is applied and approved, the previous criminal record is no longer a problem for entry into Canada and is not an obstacle to receiving permanent residency. However, it takes an average of 1 to 2 years to apply for amnesty and get approval, and there is no guarantee that the amnesty will be 100%, so you have to write down why this incident occurred and what kind of mindset you will have to take to prevent it from happening again. If there is a record like this, entering Canada may not be easy at first, but there are various ways to solve it. However, as everyone knows, it is important to prevent this from happening in advance because it is not necessary to have these records to easily receive entry to Canada, employment, academic permission, and permanent residency.
Canada announces details of Parents and Grandparents Program 2021
The Immigration Service's official announcement that the 2021 immigration of parents and grandparents will finally resume was made public by Immigration Minister Marco Mandicino on Tuesday, July 20. This process will take effect on September 20, 2021 and an invitation will be sent for the next two weeks. The selection process will be the same as the most recent selection, and invitees who receive the same invitation will prepare formal applications and documents from the Canadian federal government within 60 days. If you have already applied for an interview to sponsor form between October and November last year, you will be automatically applied for this selection, so you don't have to apply in duplicate. Originally, immigration to parents and grandparents took place early every year, but due to the postponement of 2020 immigration to parents and grandparents due to the COVID-19 Pandemic, 2021 immigration to parents and grandparents was postponed and started in September this year. We decided to select 30,000 people, three times more than 10,000 in 2020. As the number of players has increased, the probability of selection was less than 10% last year, but it is expected to be more than 20 to 30% this year. In order to immigrate to parents and grandparents, you must meet the conditions in which your sponsor's child can immigrate. The basic condition is that the sponsor's child must remain a Canadian citizen or permanent resident at least 18 years of age. And the most important condition is financial proof, which the sponsor must prove that he or she has enough income to support all the families that will be financially responsible, including himself. Here, dependents should be calculated including themselves, their immediate family spouses and children, and their parents to be invited. And, as I said above, we need to make sure that we can support it based on income reported to the Canadian Revenue Service over the last three years because we need to have enough income. For your information, you cannot prove it with assets you have already collected, but you can only prove it through income reported in the last three years. This 2021 immigration calculation will be based on the gross incentive listed in the 2020, 2019 and 2018 Notice of Assessment (NOA). For your information, even if we received EI and CREB due to COVID-19 Pandemic, this amount can be added to income and calculated. As such, immigration to parents and grandparents can only be applied to those who meet basic conditions, all applicants must check in advance whether they have enough income to support the number of people who will be financially responsible before submitting the application. If you have a plan to bring your parents or grandparents to Canada, don't miss the immigration of your parents and grandparents on September 20th and prepare in advance so that you can receive the invitation.
New Pathway Program Essential-non health care slot closed
On May 7, 2021, one of the six temporary Canadian permanent residency programs of the Temporary Resident to Permanent Resident Pathway, Worker in Canada: Essential, non-health care streams, closed early on July 16, 2021. In other words, on May 6, the Immigration Service announced six special immigration programs to select 90,000 new immigrants. Among the programs announced at this time, the programs that received a lot of attention are international graduate stream, compulsory occupation stream, and medical-related employee stream. The international graduate stream, which attracted the most attention, ended early after receiving 40,000 applications just 25 hours after its opening. And on July 16, the required job stream closed early 69 days after opening. Originally, the program was announced to close on November 5th, but due to more interest than I thought, both streams were closed early. The remaining stream is for healthcare workers, with only about 2,600 out of a total of 20,000 registered to date. And the other three streams are for French speakers, which will continue to receive applications through November 5, regardless of the number of applicants. As both programs were closed so suddenly, applicants who were preparing for this program were unavoidably unable to register. However, not all programs are yet over and there is still a stream for healthcare workers. A total of 20,000 healthcare workers were scheduled to be selected and there are still about 17,000 seats left. The program meets the requirements if you have worked full-time for more than a year in the last three years, including nurses, doctors, pharmacists, as well as dental workers, dental hygienists, massage therapists, psychologists and social workers. In addition, you must currently work in Canada and submit a score of CLB 4 or higher within two years of the date of application for permanent residency. These permanent residency programs require the main applicant to live in Canada, but family members can acquire permanent residency together, even if they are overseas. You should check to see if your job is included in the stream of healthcare-related workers, as well as a variety of jobs that require you to work at the hospital. In addition, like the Pathway program, we may suddenly open a temporary permanent residency program like a gift to the immigration office, so we should prepare thoroughly to proceed with permanent residency anytime in the future so that we can seize the opportunity we missed this time.
Statistics on permanent residency acquisition of international students
More and more international students are choosing to study in Canada, and the Canadian government is also investing a lot in attracting international students. According to statistics from the Canadian Immigration Department, the number of international students was 122,700 in 2000, while the number more than tripled to 642,500 in 2019. Additionally, 30% of international students who entered Canada after 2000 have obtained permanent residency within 10 years. More specifically, 50% of students with master's degrees in Canada and 60% of those with doctorate degrees have obtained permanent residency in Canada. In addition to students with master's and doctorate degrees, the number of students who graduated from high school or college in Canada has increased by two to three times compared to 2000. This suggests that the number of international students coming to Canada to receive higher education to get the opportunity to become permanent residents of Canada is increasing. For your information, higher education programs such as college can be easier to enter and shorter than university programs, so you may enter other higher education institutions than universities when you come to study abroad. It was confirmed that international students with experience of working in school or after graduation had a 60% higher chance of becoming permanent residents after graduation. The reason is that most permanent residents require a career in Canada or if they have an experience in Canada, they can receive additional immigration scores, so the probability of obtaining permanent residency varies depending on their work experience. Graduates with high-wage jobs were more likely to get permanent residency. Eighty-seven percent of graduates with annual salaries of $60,000 or more earned permanent residency, while 46 percent of graduates with annual salaries of $30,000 or less earned permanent residency. This seems to be advantageous for high-paid graduates to acquire permanent residency because they can receive additional points according to their annual salary, such as the BCPNP immigration program. Based on the above data statistics, it seems to be a strong motivator for international students with experience working in Canada and high-paying jobs to decide on settling in Canada. The reason why we are trying to attract international students in Canada is that international students are an essential part of Canada's economy, which not only revitalizes educational institutions but also helps to increase labor and population. International students are relatively young, have Canadian credentials, English ability, a second language, and experience in Canada or abroad, so they are talented people who cannot be missed in Canada. Also, many networks are built around international students, so we can aim to further revitalize the Canadian economy. In the future, the Canadian Immigration Department will encourage Canadian students and maintain permanent residency more easily. As a support, once you graduate from school in Canada, you can pursue your Canadian career through Post graduation work permit (PGWP), which allows you to apply for permanent residency in Canada, and the Pathway program in May has been temporarily opened to allow students who graduate from Canadian schools to apply for permanent residency. If you are studying in Canada or preparing to study abroad, you can also obtain permanent residency in Canada more easily, so please consider obtaining permanent residency as well.
Exemption from physical examination when applying for permanent residency
If you apply for permanent residency in Canada, you will be exempted from the mandatory physical examination. Through this special temporary policy of exemption from physical examinations, the Canadian Immigration Department will simplify the process of permanent residency and expedite the process of permanent residency. This will help support the government's goal of accepting 401,000 new immigrants this year. Currently, the Canadian Immigration Department is unable to keep up with the previous target speed due to a sudden influx of permanent residency applicants and a lack of examiners from the Canadian Immigration Department. To make matters worse, we expect more and more applications to continue to flock, so we have introduced a special policy called exemption from physical examinations to overcome this situation. However, this special provisional policy does not apply to everyone, but only to applicants who meet all three conditions as below. The first condition is that you have not yet completed a physical examination if you have or plan to apply for permanent residency. The second condition corresponds to a situation in which a physical examination required by the Immigration Department has been taken in the last five years and does not pose a risk to public health examinations or safety. The last third condition is to continue living in Canada for the last six months. The above three conditions apply not only to the main applicant, but also to the family members who apply together, if they meet the above conditions, they will be exempted from physical examinations. If permanent residency is carried out without further physical examination in accordance with these physical examination exemptions, you must submit a physical examination confirmation or a physical examination unique number submitted during the previous physical examination called Unique Identifier number. However, even if all the above conditions are met and the previous physical examination confirmation is submitted, additional physical examination may be requested at the discretion of the examiner. This may be requested if the previous physical examination results are insufficient or if a re-examination is available. This temporary policy will be implemented from June 30, 2021 to December 28, 2021. Applicants who apply for permanent residency and are exempt from physical examinations can save $300-400 in physical examination costs and reduce the hassle of having to retake physical examinations. Additionally, after receiving permanent residency documents, I stopped waiting nervously for passing the physical examination. Furthermore, the entire process has become easier for applicants who had previously been re-examined for tuberculosis or other reasons to pass without being re-examined this time. As such, the Canadian Immigration Service continues to lead the way in attracting permanent residents during the Pandemic period and is providing support in various ways. As the Immigration Department continues to say, Canadian immigration is expected to be bright for the next two to three years, so I hope you can get permanent residency without missing the right time.
Entry process for new immigrants.
The border, which had also been closed to applicants who were granted permanent residency overseas, was reopened on June 21, 2021, 15 months later. Applicants who had previously received permanent residency certificates overseas, or COPR, but had not been able to complete their permanent residency through landing, are now officially eligible to obtain permanent residency in Canada as they arrive at the border. Of course, even if you enter the country for landing with COPR, the restricted entry restrictions and regulations to Canada will be applied together. With the closure of the Canadian border from March 18, 2020, new immigrants with COPR and green card certificates have been restricted from entry. As a result, permanent residency has already been approved on paper, but we could not receive the landing and PR card, which are the last procedures, because we were not able to enter Canada. There were about 23,000 new immigrants waiting for landing, all of whom were granted permanent residency, but were unable to receive official PR cards. Fortunately, however, on June 21, Immigration Minister Marco Mendicino allowed all new immigrants with COPR to enter the country and receive PR cards. However, COPR does not mean that everyone can receive permanent residency as they enter Canada. Once COPR has not yet expired, it must be valid and meet the conditions for entry into Canada like any other entrant. COPR has been used before Pandemic as a document confirming the approval of permanent residency and also as a document allowing entry into Canada. In order to enter the country through this document, you must receive a PR card after entering the country before the document expires, and this regulation is still in effect. Because the entry restrictions have already been in place for more than a year, some of the COPRs received since March 18, 2020 have already expired, and in this case, you cannot enter Canada right now. However, in order to remedy these cases, the Immigration Department has announced that it is preparing procedures to reissue expired COPRs. There will be an announcement soon about the related procedures, so even if COPR expires, you can wait without applying for permanent residency, and I recommended you to contact the immigration office first until the procedures are completed. In order to enter Canada at this time, you must comply with COVID-19 entry restrictions applicable to all travelers. Basically, if you have COVID-19 symptoms, you cannot enter the country. And when you enter the country, you have to upload the self-isolation plan, voice COVID-19 test certificate, and additional necessary documents using the ArriveCAN app. After that, you have to enter the country and conduct 14 days of self-quarantine, including hotel quarantine, but if you have recently been vaccinated, you only observe hotel self-quarantine and do not have to proceed with additional 14 days of self-quarantine. Given that applicants for permanent residency overseas are also announcing measures to enter the country after approving permanent residency, it is expected that FSW and FST, which are currently suspended, will resume their progress soon. Soon, the Canadian Immigration Service will be back to normal and all immigration will be able to proceed again, so applicants who were preparing for permanent residency, which is currently suspended, should start preparing for permanent residency again.
Extension of entry restrictions to Canada
Public Safety Secretary Bill Blair has decided to extend the entry restrictions to Canada for another month on 18 July. Due to this decision, the restriction on entry to Canada has been confirmed until July 21st, and it seems possible to extend it further. As a result, applicants who are currently eligible to enter Canada will remain the same as Canadians, permanent residents, immediate family members of Canadians and permanent residents, work permit holders, some international students, and pre-entry certificates recognized as mandatory travel. Blair also announced that measures were in place for Canadians vaccinated with COVID-19, permanent residents and other travellers exempt from entry restrictions. As most expect, Canadians who have been vaccinated and travelers who can enter the country will probably have no self-isolation on the 14th after entering the country. In addition, Prime Minister Justin Trudeau said the method of proving vaccination would be divided into two steps. First, travelers who are about to enter Canada must upload vaccination documents to the ArriveCan app. And second, the government will provide documents that can be certified globally for vaccination soon, so this document will have to be prepared separately. For your information, he admitted that not all vaccinations were valid, but only if he received one of the four vaccines approved in Canada, Pfizer, Moderna, Astra Geneca and Johnson & Johnson, as previously announced. If you are not a traveler who can enter the country as above, you may enter the country with a prior entry letter from the Canadian Immigration Department. A typical case for applying for a pre-entry certificate is that if a family member is already legally working or studying in Canada and is unable to live with his family, they can apply for a pre-entry certificate and enter the country with approval. Of course, prior immigration forms are not always approved, and the results may vary depending on the case, so you need to specify why you should visit from the beginning. Once rejected, it is likely that the application will be rejected again, so it is a way to get approval in detail so that it can be approved at once, and the immigration usually answers within 1-3 weeks of receipt. Entry restrictions to Canada began in March 2020 and have been restricted to non-travellers with mandatory purposes. After that, only four international airports were opened, with additional mandatory 14 days of self-isolation, 3 days of hotel quarantine, and COVID-19 inspection before and after arrival. As such, Canada imposed stricter entry restrictions due to concerns over the spread of COVID-19, while adding ways to visit Canada. For example, I have added to the list the purpose of the entry and entry of international students who attend designated educational institutions. As such, the Canadian government is reducing entry to a minimum, but continues to allow entry if necessary. Although entry is not yet free due to self-isolation and entry restrictions, as mentioned above, the restrictions are expected to be lifted soon as the vaccination rate increases and the Canadian Immigration Department will return to normal.
The future prospects of Express Entry
There were two Express Entry PNP and CEC announcements this Wednesday, June 9 and Thursday, June 10. These two selections were only PNP and CEC selections, which had the largest number of applicants in Canada, just like last time for Express Entry, and this trend allowed us to look at future immigration trends in Canada. Since early 2021, the Canadian Immigration Service has selected only Express Entry CEC and PNP selections for candidates who may already be in Canada. This policy seems to be aimed at achieving Canada's immigration goals throughout the year, as well as minimizing travel restrictions and impact on international candidates due to Corona. In other words, FSW and FST programs, which can be accepted after receiving permanent residency from abroad, have not been selected this year, and it is difficult to predict exactly when they will be selected again. But what's certain is that if the spread of COVID-19 decreases significantly with the spread of COVID-19, FSW and FST programs will be selected again. If you look at the Express Entry PNP selection, which was selected this time, the selection was selected with 711 points and the invitation was issued with a starting score that was two points lower than the last selection. The reason why the score was further lowered in this selection is that 940 people were selected, about twice as many as 500 invitation issuers of the last selection. Express Entry PNP has a relatively higher selection score than other Express Entry because state-approved nominees apply for PNPs and automatically add 600 points to Express Entry. In other words, in order to be selected from EEPNP at 711 points, the applicant who had previously registered Express Entry as 111 points and received 600 PNP additional points could receive invitation. If you look at the Express Entry CEC on June 10, the selection was 368, down 12 points from the last selection. If you look at the latest scores, the score continues to fall to 417 on April 16, 400 on April 29, 401 on May 13, 397 on May 20, and 380 on May 31. CEC is a program that can be carried out by anyone with more than a year of full-time experience in Canada and an English score of CLB 5 or higher in the past three years, so most experience immigration permanent residency is conducted through this program. As the CEC score has been lowered, it is giving a lot of hope to applicants who had given up on the process due to a lack of permanent residency scores last year or before. Recently, the influx of people into Canada has decreased, and the number of applicants who have already entered Canada and are preparing for permanent residency has decreased, and EE selection is also increasing. If this continues, the Express Entry selection score will likely be lower. In addition, Canada sent more invitation compared to the same time in 2020, thanks to 27,332 major applicants selected at the time of the selection with 75 points on February 13. With the recent selection, Canada's immigration office is doing well on its promise to increase the number of immigration prisoners by 2023, and the prospects for permanent residency for the next two years are bright. If you are preparing for permanent residency now, or if you are planning to, don't wait any longer and try harder to prepare for permanent residency so that you don't miss this opportunity.
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